1️⃣ NRFI / YRFI Board

First-inning run model: each lineup slot's platoon OPS (indexed to league) weighted by expected first-inning plate appearances, against the starter's projected FIP — priced through the calibrated negative-binomial run law. NRFI = no run in the 1st, YRFI = a run scores.

Matchup Starters (A @ H) FIP A/H Lineups μ 1st — Away / Home NRFI % YRFI % Fair NRFI Fair YRFI Total Anchor YRFI Model − Anchor
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