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Run Expectancy Game Total Model

Markov half-inning simulator — baseball_R methodology (Albert & Marchi). Input team OBP/SLG to get parametric O/U probability at any line.

Presets:

24-State Run Expectancy Matrix

Statcast era (2015–2024) MLB averages. RE = expected runs remaining for the remainder of the inning.

baseball_R source: runsexpectancy.R
Base State 0 Outs 1 Out 2 Outs Avg RE
Loading RE matrix…

Quick Monte Carlo Bridge

Manual wRC/pitcher inputs still use your existing /api/analyze engine.